According to the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey, men who worked full-time, year-round in 2020 earned a median of $63,678—half earned more and half earned less. Here are the medians for men by educational attainment...
Thursday, September 16, 2021
Median Earnings by Educational Attainment, 2020
Wednesday, September 08, 2021
Health Problems Mount Rapidly for the Less Educated
For 39 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has tracked the labor force experience of a cohort of Baby Boomers as they aged from their teens and twenties into their fifties and sixties. The National Longitudinal Survey of Youth was first fielded in 1979, when a nationally representative sample of young adults aged 14 to 22 answered a battery of questions. This cohort has been surveyed repeatedly for decades, the latest being in 2018–19, when these late Boomers (born from 1957 to 1964) were aged 53 to 62.
One of the survey questions has asked respondents whether their health limits the kind or amount of work they can do. Not surprisingly, a growing share of respondents reported health limitations as they aged. Only 3.5 percent said their health was a limiting factor at age 24. The figure grew slightly to 4.9 percent at age 34, then more than doubled to 10.3 percent at age 44. By age 54, a substantial 19.9 percent of the cohort reported limitations in their work due to health issues.
No characteristic plays a bigger role in determining the health status of aging Boomers than educational attainment...
| at 54 | at 44 | at 34 | at 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total cohort | 19.9% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Bachelor's degree+ | 8.5 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Some college/associate's degree | 19.7 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 3.2 |
| High school graduate only | 23.9 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| No high school diploma | 46.9 | 23.0 | 5.8 | 5.1 |
By age 54, nearly half (46.9 percent) of those without a high school diploma were limited in their work because of health issues. Among those with a bachelor's degree or more education, only 8.5 percent reported such limitations. The college graduates at age 54 were healthier than every other educational attainment group had been at age 44.
Monday, May 17, 2021
Below Replacement Fertility for College Graduates
The average woman will have 1.7 children in her lifetime according to a National Center for Health Statistics' analysis of 2019 fertility rates by educational attainment. This rate is well below the replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman.
Note: The total fertility rate (TFR), as this measure is called, fell even lower in 2020—to 1.6 children per woman.
The TFR varies by a woman's educational attainment. Among women without a high school diploma, the fertility rate is well above replacement at 2.8 children. Women with a bachelor's degree and no further education have the lowest TFR—just 1.3 children.
Monday, April 26, 2021
Educational Attainment in 2020
It used to be that men were much more likely than women to have a bachelor's degree. You can see this history in the educational attainment of men and women aged 70 or older today. There is a hefty 10 percentage-point gap in bachelor's degree attainment between older men and women. Over the decades, women not only caught up to men in the pursuit of a college degree but surpassed them. Among 25-to-34-year-olds, women are 9 percentage points more likely than men to have a bachelor's degree—almost as big a gap as among those aged 70 or older, but in the opposite direction.
| total | men | women | difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged 25-plus | 37.5% | 36.7% | 38.3% | 1.7 |
| Aged 25 to 29 | 39.2 | 34.7 | 43.8 | 9.0 |
| Aged 30 to 34 | 43.0 | 38.7 | 47.4 | 8.7 |
| Aged 35 to 39 | 43.4 | 40.2 | 46.6 | 6.4 |
| Aged 40 to 44 | 40.9 | 37.5 | 44.2 | 6.7 |
| Aged 45 to 49 | 41.1 | 38.5 | 43.5 | 5.0 |
| Aged 50 to 54 | 38.6 | 36.9 | 40.2 | 3.3 |
| Aged 55 to 59 | 33.6 | 33.3 | 33.9 | 0.6 |
| Aged 60 to 64 | 32.6 | 32.5 | 32.7 | 0.3 |
| Aged 65 to 69 | 35.3 | 37.0 | 33.8 | -3.1 |
| Aged 70 to 74 | 34.5 | 39.9 | 29.7 | -10.2 |
| Aged 75-plus | 29.6 | 35.3 | 25.3 | -10.0 |
Wednesday, February 24, 2021
Less Educated Counties are Falling Behind
The U.S. population is getting better educated. But only in some places and not in others. Among the nation's 3,138 counties, the 58 percent majority are becoming better educated. The remaining 42 percent are educationally stagnant—they have not experienced a statistically significant increase in educational attainment over the past decade, according to a Census Bureau analysis of five-year American Community Survey data from 2005–09 to 2015–19.
Forty-two percent is a lot of counties—more than 1,000. The bad news doesn't stop there. A disproportionate share of the stagnant counties were the least educated to begin with. This means there is a growing gap between counties not only in educational attainment, but also in the economic opportunities that accrue to educated populations.
To do its analysis, the Census Bureau divided counties into two educational attainment groups. The measure of educational attainment was the percentage of county residents aged 25 or older with a bachelor's degree in 2005–09. For all counties at the time, 18.7 percent of residents aged 25 or older had a bachelor's degree. One educational attainment group consisted of all counties that fell below this threshold. The other group was all counties above this threshold. Now for the analysis: among the counties that fell below this threshold in 2005–09, only 49.8 percent experienced an increase in educational attainment by 2015–19. Among the counties that were above this threshold in 2005–09, a much larger 78.6 percent experienced an increase in educational attainment during the next 10 years.
This is not good news for stagnant counties. It means the socioeconomic gap between counties is growing, the rural-urban divide is widening, and struggling counties will find economic prosperity even more elusive.
The coronavirus pandemic will only exacerbate these problems. Recently released Bureau of Labor Statistics projections of the labor force impact of the pandemic show jobs disappearing for less-educated Americans. The number of jobs available for those without a high school diploma is projected to drop 2.3 percent between 2019 and 2029 because of the pandemic, according to a New York Times analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Covid-impact projections. Pre-Covid, these jobs had been projected to grow. The number of jobs available to those with a high school diploma and no further education will inch up by only 0.1 percent in the decade ahead, far less growth than foreseen pre-Covid. At the other extreme, Covid will boost job growth for the better educated. For those with a bachelor's degree, jobs will increase 6.7 percent—a bit more than forecast pre-Covid. Similarly, the job market for people with a graduate degree will expand 9.7 percent during the decade, also above the pre-Covid forecast.
All this means we need to prepare for more friction, more turmoil—political and otherwise—between educationally stagnant and educationally advancing counties as these trends unfold.
Source: Census Bureau, Bachelor's Degree Attainment in the United States: 2005 to 2019
Monday, November 02, 2020
The Changing Demographics of Voters
The nation's electorate is changing in every way. It is getting older, becoming more diverse, and is increasingly educated. Pew Research Center recently analyzed the demographics of registered voters and compared the results to voters in the past...
Wednesday, August 12, 2020
Why Parents Are Tearing Their Hair Out
Consider the time use of parents before the pandemic. On an average day in 2019, parents with children under age 18 spent only 1.36 hours a day caring for their children as a primary activity (their main activity), according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' American Time Use Survey. Mothers spent 1.74 hours a day and fathers 0.91 hours a day caring for children.
Before coronavirus, few parents spent any time engaged in education-related activities with children. Parents devoted only 0.11 hours (less than 7 minutes) to their child's educational activities on an average day in 2019. Most parents did not engage in education-related activities with their children at all, according to a BLS analysis of time use data from 2015–19. For married parents, here are the percentages who participated in education-related activities with their children on an average day...
Married parents engaging in education-related activities with children, average day 2015–19
5.2% of fathers with full-time jobs
9.2% of mothers with full-time jobs
18.2% of mothers with part-time jobs
19.4% of mothers who are not employed
Now imagine how many parents are engaged in education-related activities with their children on an average day in 2020 and how much time they are devoting to it.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Average Hours Per Day Parents Spent Caring for and Helping Household Children as Their Main Activity
Monday, August 03, 2020
Teleworking During the Coronavirus Pandemic
In response to the coronavirus pandemic, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has added five questions to the monthly Current Population Survey, which collects the government's official employment data. The BLS first added the questions in May and plans to continue asking them each month for the foreseeable future. Besides teleworking, respondents are also being asked whether they are unable to work because their employer has closed or lost business, whether they are being paid if they are missing work, and whether the pandemic has prevented them from looking for a job.
The 31 percent who reported teleworking in June was little different from the 35 percent who said they had done so in May. The characteristics of those who are teleworking because of the pandemic are not surprising, but nevertheless striking. Teleworking rises steeply as education increases...
Percent of the employed who teleworked for pay in the past 4 weeks due to the coronavirus, by education, June 2020
4.8% of those without a high school diploma
12.6% of high school graduates only
22.3% of those with some college
48.0% of those with a bachelor's degree
63.3% of those with a graduate degree
By race and Hispanic origin, Asians are far more likely to telework than other race and Hispanic origin groups. This is because Asians are the most educated workers and also the ones most likely to work in management and professional occupations. Hispanics are least likely to telework because they are the least-educated workers and also least likely to be managers or professionals...
Percent of the employed who teleworked for pay in the past 4 weeks due to the coronavirus, by race and Hispanic origin, June 2020
48.5% of Asians
30.8% of non-Hispanic whites
25.7% of Blacks
21.1% of Hispanics
By age, there are few differences in teleworking with one exception. Workers under age 25 are far less likely to telework (15 percent) than those aged 25 to 54 (35 percent) or aged 55 or older (30 percent).
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Supplemental Data Measuring the Effects of the Coronavirus (Covid-19) Pandemic on the Labor Market
Thursday, May 28, 2020
For Nation's Colleges, No Growth Is Best-Case Scenario
According to the National Center for Education Statistics' recently released projections, college enrollment will rise slowly but surely in every year from now through 2028, the end of the projection period. Of course the projections were produced before the coronavirus pandemic. From 19.9 million students enrolled in college in 2019, the NCES projects that the number will inch above 20 million in 2023 and reach 20.3 million in 2028. That kind of stability—once seen as troublesome for a system of higher education accustomed to robust enrollment growth—would be very good news.
College enrollment in the United States peaked in 2010 at just over 21 million—37 percent higher than in 2000. Since 2010, enrollment has been drifting downward as the economy recovered from the Great Recession, luring young adults away from college campuses and into offices and factories. Colleges had been struggling to adapt to the no-growth environment before coronavirus hit. Now they would welcome no growth over the alternative—an enrollment plunge.
College enrollment for selected years, 2000 to 2028 (in millions)
2000: 15.3
2010: 21.0
2019: 19.9
2020: 19.9
2025: 20.2
2028: 20.3
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics to 2028
Thursday, May 14, 2020
April Unemployment Rates by Educational Attainment
Keep this in mind as you take a look at April’s unemployment rates by educational attainment...
Unemployment rate of people aged 25 or older by education, April 2020 (and March 2020)
Not a high school graduate: 21.2% (6.8%)
High school graduate only: 17.3% (4.4%)
Some college/associate degree: 15.0% (3.7%)
Bachelor’s degree or more: 8.4% (2.5%)
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, The Employment Situation—April 2020
Thursday, February 20, 2020
Why Is the White Working Class Declining?
What is the cause of the decline in the white working class? In the Fed analysis, the researchers looked at two potential causes. First, they examined the rise in "deaths of despair," which are deaths due to suicide, alcohol, or drugs. While the death rate from these causes has tripled among the white working class in recent years, these deaths explain less than 1 percent of the decline in working class whites, according to the calculations.
Then the researchers examined educational attainment. Bullseye! The number of non-Hispanic whites with a four-year college degree tripled between 1976 and 2019. The surge in educational attainment is resulting in a loss of about 1 million working class whites each year and explains most of the decline.
"To the extent that the decline of the white working-class population in recent years is due to rising college degree attainment, this population change can be viewed positively," the researchers conclude.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, The White Working Class: Declining Mostly Due to Rising College Attainment
Thursday, February 13, 2020
63% Rise in College-Educated Workers since 2000
Distribution of the Labor Force Aged 25 or Older by Educational Attainment
| 2019 | 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| number | percent | number | percent | % change | |
| (in 000s) | distribution | (in 000s) | distribution | in number | |
| Total labor force | 142,448 | 100% | 118,148 | 100% | 20.6% |
| High school graduate or less | 46,138 | 32 | 49,224 | 42 | –6.3 |
| Some college/Associate degree | 37,421 | 26 | 32,844 | 28 | 13.9 |
| Bachelor's degree or more | 58,889 | 41 | 36,080 | 31 | 63.2 |
Behind the changing educational distribution of the labor force is robust growth in college-educated workers and a decline in the least educated. The number of workers with at least a bachelor's degree grew 63 percent between 2000 and 2019. The number of workers with a high school diploma or less education fell 6 percent during those years.
Source: Demo Memo analysis of Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
Outcomes for Adults Who Had Been in Foster Care
More likely to be sexually active by age 15: 59 percent of men and 55 percent of women aged 18 to 44 who had ever been in foster care had sexual intercourse for the first time by age 15. This compares with 28 percent of men and 25 percent of women who had never been in foster care.
More likely to have a first birth by age 20: 51 percent of women aged 18 to 44 who had ever been in foster care had a first birth by age 20. This compares with a smaller 23 percent of women who had never been in foster care. Among men, the comparable figures are 30 and 9 percent, respectively.
Less likely to be currently married: Only 30 percent of men and 22 percent of women aged 18 to 44 who had ever been in foster care are currently married. This compares with 40 percent of men and 42 percent of women who were never in foster care.
Less likely to be high school graduates: Fully 25 percent of men and 21 percent of women aged 18 to 44 who had ever been in foster care are high school dropouts. This compares with 12 and 10 percent of men and women who had never been in foster care, respectively.
Less likely to have a bachelor's degree: Only 5 percent of men and 9 percent of women aged 18 to 44 who had ever been in foster care had a bachelor's degree. This compares with 31 percent of men and 36 percent of women who had never been in foster care.
More likely to receive public assistance: Fully 52 percent of men and 67 percent of women aged 18 to 44 who had ever been in foster care received public assistance in the past 12 months. The comparable figures for men and women who had never been in foster care are 24 and 33 percent, respectively.
Source: National Center for Health Statistics, National Survey of Family Growth, Demographic, Health Care, and Fertility-Related Characteristics of Adults Aged 18 to 44 Who Have Ever Been in Foster Care: United States, 2011–2017
Wednesday, January 08, 2020
How Many Books Do You Read in a Year?
Women are more likely than men to have read a book in the past 12 months (61 versus 44 percent). By age, readership is as low as 47 percent among 18-to-24-year-olds, but is 50 percent or higher in all older age groups. The figure peaks at 57 percent among 65-to-74-year-olds. Not surprisingly, reading books increases with education...
Percent who read a book during past 12 months
High school graduate only: 40%
Some college/associate degree: 55%
College graduate: 68%
Graduate school: 79%
Twenty-three percent of adults used an electronic device, such as an e-reader or tablet computer, to read a book in the past year. Sixteen percent listened to an audiobook.
Source: National Endowment for the Arts, U.S. Patterns of Arts Participation: A Full Report from the 2017 Survey of Public Participation in the Arts
Wednesday, May 29, 2019
Growing Health Disparities by Educational Attainment
Percent of 19-to-64-year-olds with fair or poor health, 2017
Any college: 6.8%
No college: 16.8%
Percent of 19-to-64-year-olds with an activity limitation, 2017
Any college: 8.3%
No college: 17.2%
Percent of 19-to-64-year-olds who are obese, 2017
Any college: 29.3%
No college: 36.0%
Percent of 19-to-64-year-olds with moderate/severe psychological distress, 2017
Any college: 9.8%
No college: 15.9%
Health disparities by educational attainment have not only persisted for decades, the researchers find, but in many cases they are growing. Take activity limitations, for example. In 1999, there was a 6.2 percentage-point gap in the percentage with an activity limitation by educational attainment—14.4 percent of those with no college education versus 8.3 percent of those with any college experience. By 2017, the gap had grown to 8.9 percentage points because a larger share of the less educated (17.2 percent) reported an activity limitation. "Less-educated adults from all racial, ethnic, and geographic groups we studied have seen declines in health over time," the researchers conclude.
Source: Urban Institute, Education and Health: Long-Term Trends by Race, Ethnicity, and Geography, 1997–2017
Thursday, May 02, 2019
The Trust Gap by Educational Attainment
Americans with a bachelor's degree or more education are the only demographic segment in which the majority believes most people can be trusted—55 percent feel this way. In contrast, only 21 percent of their less-educated counterparts believe most people can be trusted. While 74 percent of those without a bachelor's degree think you can't be too careful in life, only 41 percent of those with a college degree agree.
Most people can be trusted (percent agreeing)
Not a college graduate: 21%
Bachelor's degree or more: 55%
You can't be too careful in life (percent agreeing)
Not a college graduate: 74%
Bachelor's degree or more: 41%
Note: Figures do not sum to 100 percent because some people said "it depends."
Source: Demo Memo analysis of the 2018 General Social Survey
Monday, April 08, 2019
Nearly 1/3 of Least Educated in Labor Force Are "Underutilized"
Percent of labor force participants who are "underutilized" by education
32% of high school dropouts
21% of high school graduates only
18% of those with some college
16% of those with an associate's degree
11% of those with a bachelor's degree
11% of those with a graduate degree
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Relationship between Educational Attainment and Labor Force Underutilization
Monday, March 18, 2019
Many College Students Do Not Earn a Degree
Friday, February 22, 2019
42% of New Mothers Have a Bachelor's Degree
The percentage of new mothers with a bachelor's degree or more education varies by race and Hispanic origin...
Percentage of new mothers with at least a bachelor's degree, 2017
67.9% of Asians
51.3% of non-Hispanic Whites
24.6% of Blacks
18.9% of Hispanics
13.2% of Native Hawaiians, other Pacific Islanders
12.7% of American Indians, Alaska Natives
Source: National Center for Health Statistics, Educational Attainment of Mothers Aged 25 and Over: United States, 2017
Friday, November 02, 2018
Most Say Trump Has Encouraged White Supremacists
Percent who think Trump has encouraged white supremacists
72% of Blacks
68% of Hispanics
58% of non-Hispanic Whites with a four-year college degree
38% of non-Hispanic Whites without a four-year college degree
Not surprisingly, Democrats (83 percent) are far more likely than Republicans (15 percent) to feel that Trump has encouraged white supremacists.
Source: PRRI, Partisan Polarization Dominates Trump Era: Findings from the 2018 American Values Survey