Friday, December 12, 2014

New Projections: Minority Majority in 2044

Although population growth is slowing in the United States because of the baby bust, one thing hasn't changed. Asians, Blacks, and Hispanics will become the majority of Americans within three decades. The Census Bureau's new projections show minorities becoming the majority in 2044, only one year later than in the bureau's previous projection series released two years ago. Here are the projections by race and Hispanic origin for 2015 and 2050...

Non-Hispanic White population (and share of total)
2015: 198 million (61.7%)
2050: 188 million (47.3%)
The non-Hispanic White population will peak in 2025 and then decline. The non-Hispanic White share of the population will fall below 50 percent in 2044.

Hispanic population (and share of total)
2015: 57 million (17.7%)
2050: 106 million (26.5%)
The new projections forecast 6 million fewer Hispanics in 2050 than the previous projection series, a consequence of slowing immigration and fewer births.

Black (alone or in combination) population (and share of total)
2015: 46 million (14.4%)
2050: 67 million (16.9%)
The new projections forecast 2 million fewer Blacks in 2050 than the previous projection series, a consequence of fewer births.

Asian (alone or in combination) population (and share of total)
2015: 21 million (6.4%)
2050: 42 million (10.6%)
The new projections forecast nearly 4 million more Asians in 2050 than the previous projection series, a consequence of greater immigration.

Source: Census Bureau, 2014 National Population Projections

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