Every few years, Pew Research Center probes the political beliefs of Americans, sorting the public into what it calls political typologies. The latest such survey, conducted in July 2021, finds the public distributed as follows...
Tuesday, November 30, 2021
61% of Faith and Flag Conservatives Have Guns
Wednesday, November 24, 2021
Movers from Abroad at 70-Year Low
Not only are Americans moving at a record low pace, but fewer people are moving to the United States from abroad. Only 611,000 movers from abroad came to the United States in 2021, according to the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey, the smallest number since 1951.
Typically, more than 1 million movers from abroad arrive in the United States each year. The number first surpassed 1 million in 1962 and has remained above that level in most years since then. The number peaked at 1.8 million in 2005.
The decline has affected all parts of the United States. Every region recorded a record low number of movers from abroad in 2021, according to the Census Bureau's regional data series dating back to 1981...
Tuesday, November 23, 2021
Many Americans Report Drug Problems in Family
Drug use is a common family problem. Nearly one-third of Americans (32 percent) report having had a drug problem in their family, according to a Gallup survey. This figure is up from 23 percent who reported family issues with drugs in the early 2000s.
The percentage who report having had a drug problem in their family has grown in every demographic segment over the past two decades. One of the biggest increases occurred in small towns and rural areas. In the early 2000s, only 17 percent of residents in small towns/rural areas reported having had a drug problem in their family. By 2018–21, fully 28 percent of rural residents reported a family drug problem—an 11 percentage point increase. Consequently, urban and rural residents are now about equally likely to report a drug problem in their family.
Thursday, November 18, 2021
Geographic Mobility Again Falls to All-Time Low
Only 8.4 percent of Americans lived in a different house in 2021 than one year earlier, according to the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. This is the lowest rate of geographic mobility in a data series going back more than 70 years. The 27.1 million movers were also the fewest ever recorded in the data series.
Wednesday, November 17, 2021
Center of Population Still in Missouri
The center of population is still in Missouri, the Census Bureau reports. The center's latitude and longitude place it 14.6 miles northeast of the tiny town of Hartville. The center has been ambling through Missouri since 1980. Every decade after completing the census, the Census Bureau calculates the mean center of population. It defines the mean center "as the place where an imaginary, flat, weightless and rigid map of the United States would balance perfectly if all residents were of identical weight." It's imaginary, but instructive.
Between 2010 and 2020, the center of population moved only 11.8 miles. This is the shortest distance the center has moved since 1920 and the second shortest distance ever, the Census Bureau reports. It is also the most southerly move ever. "This southerly drift and shorter distance can be attributed to a strong pull on the center by continued population growth in the Southeast," the Census Bureau explains.
The Census Bureau also calculates the mean center of population for states and counties. You can see your state and county centers of population and how far they moved between 2010 and 2020 on this data visualization.
Source: Census Bureau, Census Bureau Announces Hartville, Missouri as "Center of Population" for the United States
Tuesday, November 16, 2021
31% of Young Adults Have Dabbled in Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrency is making inroads into the financial affairs of the American public, especially among young adults. Overall, 16 percent of people aged 18 or older say they have ever invested in, traded, or used a cryptocurrency, according to a Pew Research Center survey. This figure is up from 1 percent in 2015 (when Pew asked exclusively about Bitcoin). The share of adults who have ever invested/traded/used a cryptocurrency is highest among young adults...
Thursday, November 11, 2021
Most Americans Misled by Covid Falsehoods
How many Americans have been snookered by Covid misinformation? Turns out, the majority of Americans have, according to a survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation.
The KFF survey presented a representative sample of the public with seven Covid-19 falsehoods. Respondents were asked 1) whether they had heard of the falsehood and believed it to be true, or 2) whether they had heard of the falsehood and did not know if it was true. Here are the seven falsehoods...
- The government is exaggerating the number of Covid-19 deaths
- Pregnant women should not get the Covid-19 vaccine
- Deaths due to the Covid-19 vaccine are being intentionally hidden by the government
- The Covid-19 vaccines have been shown to cause infertility
- Ivermectin is a safe and effective treatment for Covid-19
- You can get Covid-19 from the vaccine
- The Covid-19 vaccines contain a microchip
- The Covid-19 vaccines can change your DNA
All of these statements are false. But the 78 percent majority of Americans have heard of one or more of these falsehoods and believe it to be true or are not sure if it is true. Only 22 percent of the public does not believe any of the falsehoods, according to the KFF survey.
Who is most likely to believe/be unsure about one or more of these falsehoods? The usual suspects—the unvaccinated (95 percent), Republicans (94 percent), people who live in rural areas (86 percent), people without a college degree (83 percent), and people under age 50 (82 percent).
But other demographic segments don't do much better. In fact, the majority of Americans in every demographic segment believes/is unsure about one or more of the falsehoods, including 71 percent of the vaccinated, 62 percent of Democrats, 74 percent of people who live in urban areas, 68 percent of college graduates, and 73 percent of people aged 50 or older.
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, KFF Covid-19 Vaccine Monitor: Media and Misinformation
Wednesday, November 10, 2021
Median Household Income of Married Couples Tops $100,000
The median household income of married couples has grown by leaps and bounds over the past half century, according to the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey. Take a look at the trend...
Between 1970 and 2020, the median household income of married couples grew by a huge 61 percent, after adjusting for inflation. In comparison, the median income of all households grew by a smaller 30 percent during those years.
What accounts for the surge in the median income of married couples? Some of the increase—especially in the 1970s and 1980s—was due to the rise of dual-earner couples as a share of all married couples. Another factor is the rising income of women. Between 1970 and 2020, the median earnings of women who work full-time climbed 85 percent, after adjusting for inflation. The median earnings of their male counterparts grew just 13 percent during that time period.
Perhaps the biggest factor boosting the incomes of married couples in recent years is what is called the marriage market. In the marriage market, the most desirable mates are those who make the most money. Among men, the married share ranges from a low of 33 percent among those with personal incomes below $25,000 to a high of 78 percent among those with incomes of $100,000 or more. The comparable figures for women are 41 and 67 percent. The marriage market explains the outsized gains for married couples.
Source: Demo Memo analysis of the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey
Tuesday, November 09, 2021
800,000 Deaths by Year's End
The first recorded death from Covid-19 occurred on February 27, 2020, according to the CDC. By the end of the year, the virus had killed 363,934 Americans and Covid was the third leading cause of death in the United States, behind only heart disease and cancer.
So far in 2021, Covid has killed 388,000 Americans—24,000 more than it killed last year. The number of Covid deaths this year surpassed the 2020 figure a few weeks ago on October 18—despite the fact that we now have an effective vaccine for the virus. Here are a few of Covid's grim milestones...
Thursday, November 04, 2021
The Big Picture of the Housing Shortage
If you want to see why housing is so hot right now, take a look at the trends over the past decade. The number of occupied housing units (otherwise known as households, which are housing units with people in them) grew faster than the total number of housing units. Consequently, the number of vacant housing units fell between 2010 and 2020.
Wednesday, November 03, 2021
First-Time Homebuyer Watch: 3rd Quarter 2021
Homeownership rate of householders aged 30 to 34, third quarter 2021: 48.9%
Tuesday, November 02, 2021
Most Workers Favor Employer Vaccination Requirement
A growing share of U.S. workers say their employer is requiring Covid-19 vaccination, according to a Gallup survey. As of October, 36 percent of workers say their employer requires them to be vaccinated, up from 19 percent in August and just 5 percent in May.
Most workers are happy about the requirement. The 56 percent majority of workers either favor (11 percent) or strongly favor (45 percent) a workplace vaccination requirement. That leaves a substantial 37 percent who oppose such a requirement, including 30 percent who strongly oppose.
By job area, blue-collar workers are least likely to have been vaccinated, with just 56 percent reporting having had the jab. A substantial 38 percent of blue-collar workers say they do not plan to get vaccinated.
Thursday, October 28, 2021
Deaths Exceeded Births in 25 States in 2020
A new record was set in 2019. Deaths exceeded births in five states. Never before had so many states experienced negative natural increase, reports Kenneth M Johnson, a senior demographer at the Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire.
But wait. The numbers for 2020 make the 2019 record look quaint. Deaths exceeded births in half of all states in 2020, according to Johnson's analysis of data from the National Center for Health Statistics. The 25 states with more deaths than births in 2020 can be found in every region of the country including Arizona and Oregon in the West, Missouri and Wisconsin in the Midwest, Florida and South Carolina in the South, and Connecticut and Massachusetts in the Northeast.
The trend could intensify in 2021. With births continuing to decline and Covid deaths in 2021 exceeding the 2020 number, Johnson predicts another year in which many states will experience negative natural increase, further reducing population growth in the United States.
Source: Kenneth M. Johnson, Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire, Deaths Exceeded Births in a Record Number of States in 2020
Wednesday, October 27, 2021
No Medical or Dental Visits in Past Year
One in five Americans have not visited a doctor or a dentist in the past year, according to the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS). In an examination of trends in medical and dental visits, the MEPS report analyzes data from 2003 through 2018. Over those 15 years, there has been a slight increase in the percentage of Americans who did not see a dentist or a doctor in a year's time, with the figure rising from 18.9 percent in 2003 to 19.8 percent in 2018.
Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Two-Year Colleges Thrashed by Economy, Pandemic
College enrollment in the United States is on the decline. The number of undergraduates in the nation's colleges reached an all-time high in 2011 as widespread unemployment in the aftermath of the Great Recession boosted enrollment, especially at two-year schools. Since then, undergraduate college enrollment has fallen by 17 percent, with two-year schools getting the worst of it.
The biggest drivers of enrollment at two-year colleges are current events—such as recessions and pandemics. When unemployment is high, two-year college enrollment grows. When jobs are plentiful or a pandemic sweeps the country, two-year enrollment falls. In the aftermath of the Great Recession, enrollment at two-year colleges surged. At the 2010 peak, 5.9 million students were enrolled at two-year schools. Since that peak, enrollment at two-year schools has fallen by 37 percent. Between 2019 and 2020, two-year schools saw the biggest decline in their enrollment on record—a loss of 588,000 students.
Thursday, October 21, 2021
Conflict between Urban and Rural
Wednesday, October 20, 2021
Big Drop in School Enrollment in 2020
The number of Americans aged 3 or older enrolled in school fell from 76 million in 2019 to 73 million in 2020—a decline of 2.9 million. Behind the decline was the coronavirus pandemic, which not only turned learning virtual but also kept many from going to school at all.
Most of the decline in school enrollment occurred among the youngest students. The number of children enrolled in nursery school or kindergarten fell by 1.5 million between 2019 and 2020, accounting for 54 percent of the overall decline in enrollment. The enrollment rate of 3-to-4-year-olds plunged from 54 to just 40 percent—the first time since 1996 that the enrollment rate of the age group has been below 50 percent.
Tuesday, October 19, 2021
Labor Force Rates of 65+ Projected to Rise
The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects diverging trends for the American labor force.
On the one hand, the labor force participation rate of the total population aged 16 or older is projected to continue drifting downward between 2020 and 2030, falling another 1.4 percentage points to just 60.4 percent by 2030. The last time the overall participation rate was this low was in 1972—just before the surge of Boomer women into the labor force. Overall participation peaked at 67.1 percent during the four years from 1997 through 2000. One factor behind the declining participation rate in recent years is the aging of the population.
On the other hand, the labor force participation rate of older Americans is projected to continue its long-term rise between 2020 and 2030. Here are the projections for the 65-plus age group...
| 2030 | 2020 | 2010 | 2000 | pp change, 2000-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged 65 to 69 | 39.6% | 33.0% | 31.5% | 24.5% | +15.1 |
| Aged 70 to 74 | 23.8 | 18.9 | 18.0 | 13.5 | +10.3 |
| Aged 75-plus | 11.7 | 8.9 | 7.4 | 5.3 | +6.4 |
Thursday, October 14, 2021
Most Americans Are Worried about Climate Change
Fully 65 percent of Americans aged 18 or older are worried about climate change, according to a Gallup survey. Forty-three percent are worried "a great deal" and another 22 percent are worried "a fair amount."
Worries about climate change are not limited to the young or the educated. The majority of every demographic segment is worried a great deal/fair amount about climate change. Take a look...
Wednesday, October 13, 2021
29% of Americans Are Afraid of Dying
Every year Chapman University surveys the American public about its fears, asking a representative sample of the population how afraid it is of a long list of unfortunate events, types of people, insects, animals, natural disasters, and even the paranormal. The latest survey included 95 potentially fearful things. Here are some of the more interesting fear comparisons...
- Of the 95 different fears measured, the American public is least afraid of animals. Only 5 percent of the public reports being afraid/very afraid of animals.
- 43% of the public is afraid/very afraid of white supremacists. This fear ranks 23rd among the 95 fears measured in the 2020-21 survey. Many more people are afraid of white supremacists than Black Lives Matter (15%).
- 20% of people are afraid/very afraid of murder hornets.
- A substantial 12% of the public is afraid/very afraid of needles. Could this explain vaccine hesitancy?
- Fear of strangers grips more than one in ten Americans (11%). Perhaps these fearful people are also the ones who are afraid/very afraid of immigrants (6%).
- 9% are afraid/very afraid of whites no longer being the majority in the U.S.
- Nearly one-third of the public (31%) is afraid/very afraid of heights. About half as many (16%) are afraid of small, enclosed spaces.
- Half of Americans (49%) are afraid/very afraid of climate change.
- Only 29% of Americans are afraid/very afraid of dying. The fear of dying ranks 53rd on the list—just above the fear of public speaking.